決策分析
Managerial Decision Analysis
學期
106-2
學分
3
學分
當期課號
5625
永久課號
IEM5339
開課單位
管理學院碩士在職專班-工管組
授課教師
李榮貴
校區
光復
類別
選修
上課時間表
| 節 | 週六 |
|---|---|
2 09:00–09:50 | 決策分析 MB520 3 節連堂 |
3 10:10–11:00 | |
4 11:10–12:00 | |
5 13:20–14:10 | 決策分析 MB520 3 節連堂 |
6 14:20–15:10 | |
7 15:30–16:20 |
* 根據陽明交大上課時間表所列
概述
This decision analysis course gives you a solid understanding of Dialogue Decision Process (Developed by Strategic Decision Group—www.sdg.com) and the analysis tools used for making high-quality of a decisions. You will learn how to measure and improve the quality of a decision, how to set up an efficient and effective decision-making process, and how to interpret the analysis of decision alternatives.
評分方式
教學要點概述(請填寫教材編選、教學方法、評量方法、教學資源、教學相關配合事項等): Class participation 20%, Quiz 40%, Term paper 40%
週次計畫
| 週次 | 主題 |
|---|---|
| 第 1 週 | Introduction to Decision Analysis Demonstration: Decision-Making Under Uncertainty Dialogue Decision Process Appropriate Frame (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part A) Case Study---Framing |
| 第 2 週 | Introduction to Decision Analysis Demonstration: Decision-Making Under Uncertainty Dialogue Decision Process Appropriate Frame (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part A) Case Study---Framing |
| 第 3 週 | Introduction to Decision Analysis Demonstration: Decision-Making Under Uncertainty Dialogue Decision Process Appropriate Frame (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part A) Case Study---Framing |
| 第 4 週 | Creating Strategic Alternatives --- Influence Diagram (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part B) Case Study ---Creating Strategic Alternative and Influence Diagram Building |
| 第 5 週 | Creating Strategic Alternatives --- Influence Diagram (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part B) Case Study ---Creating Strategic Alternative and Influence Diagram Building |
| 第 6 週 | Creating Strategic Alternatives --- Influence Diagram (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part B) Case Study ---Creating Strategic Alternative and Influence Diagram Building |
| 第 7 週 | Dialogue Decision Process --- Spreadsheet Modeling --- Deterministic Sensitivity Analysis (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part C) --- Probabilistic Analysis Case Study ---Spreadsheet modeling and analysis Supertree-Sensitivity software exercise |
| 第 8 週 | Dialogue Decision Process --- Spreadsheet Modeling --- Deterministic Sensitivity Analysis (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part C) --- Probabilistic Analysis Case Study ---Spreadsheet modeling and analysis Supertree-Sensitivity software exercise |
| 第 9 週 | --- Assessing Probability (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part D) --- Structuring Decision Trees (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part E) Case Study---Decision tree building Supertree—Tree modeling exercise |
| 第 10 週 | --- Assessing Probability (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part D) --- Structuring Decision Trees (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part E) Case Study---Decision tree building Supertree—Tree modeling exercise |
| 第 11 週 | Dialogue Decision Process ---Value of Information and Control (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part F) --- Decision Trees Analysis --- Final Presentation (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part G) Case Study—Tree Analysis |
| 第 12 週 | Dialogue Decision Process ---Value of Information and Control (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part F) --- Decision Trees Analysis --- Final Presentation (Freemark Abbey Winery Case---Part G) Case Study—Tree Analysis |
| 第 13 週 | Risk Attitude |
| 第 14 週 | Risk Attitude |
| 第 15 週 | Game Theory apply to strategic decision analysis |
| 第 16 週 | Game Theory apply to strategic decision analysis |
| 第 17 週 | Personal Decision Making and term paper |
| 第 18 週 | Personal Decision Making and term paper |
教科書
Decision Analysis for the Professional